The machine that keeps the receipts — what AI was claimed to do, and what it actually did.
Forecast

Dated, falsifiable predictions, auto-graded on their resolution date. No pundit immunity.

→ The scoreboard — every prediction graded in public, with my running calibration.

Forecast · prediction
The next eighteen months, with numbers I'll be graded on
Jun 10, 2026
Four dated predictions about where AI goes by the end of 2027. Each one is a guess wearing a confidence score, and I will revisit every one of them in public.