The Ledger · standings
Resolving soon
A standings view of the receipts: what gets graded next, and when. Nothing is graded yet — the first verdict lands in 4 days. Rebuilt daily, so the countdown is current. The full ledger →
Next verdict in
4days
"No publicly available AI system will have a verified ARC-AGI-2 score above 75% on or before 2026-06-24."
"Synthetic"resolves 2026-06-24 · Jun 24, 2026
Lands this week 2
"Synthetic"4 daysresolves Jun 24, 2026
"No publicly available AI system will have a verified ARC-AGI-2 score above 75% on or before 2026-06-24."
"Synthetic"6 daysresolves Jun 26, 2026
"OpenAI will not publicly release or announce a model branded \"GPT-6\" on or before 2026-06-26."
On deck — next to resolve 8
"Synthetic"9 daysresolves Jun 29, 2026
"No AI lab will publicly report a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified on or before 2026-06-29."
"xAI"19 daysresolves Jul 9, 2026
“"a public release is expected approximately two to three weeks from that date, placing it in mid-June 2026"”
"Google"19 daysresolves Jul 9, 2026
“"general availability is expected in late June 2026"”
"Microsoft (Foundry Agent Service, via AI Weekly)"21 daysresolves Jul 11, 2026
“"Hosted agents in Foundry Agent Service, expected to reach general availability by early July 2026, provide a managed runtime"”
"OpenAI"33 daysresolves Jul 23, 2026
“"Shutdown on July 23, 2026"”
"DeepSeek"34 daysresolves Jul 24, 2026
“"The two legacy API model names, `deepseek-chat` and `deepseek-reasoner`, will be discontinued in three months (2026-07-24)."”
"DeepSeek"34 daysresolves Jul 24, 2026
“"Both legacy names retire July 24, 2026. After that date, requests using the old names will fail."”
"Apple (reported by Creative Bloq, WWDC 2026 coverage)"41 daysresolves Jul 31, 2026
“"A public beta will launch in July with the stable launch coming in September alongside the expected release of iPhone 18."”